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Card Counting Advantage by Depth
What
is the advantage at different depths?
Since we see more high counts (as well as low counts) at deeper
penetrations and high counts have a higher advantage and we bet
more at the high counts than at the low counts, we experience an
overall higher advantage at deeper parts of the shoe. This chart
is a bit different as it displays the advantage by the round number
for 43 rounds in a shoe. We start at a negative expectation and
on average expectation grows as we travel more deeply into the shoe.
It should be noted that a balanced strategy like Hi-Lo performs quite
differently than an unbalanced strategy like KO. The red Hi-Lo advantage
grows in nearly a straight line. The green KO line does not grow
at all for the first several hands and does not enjoy an advantage
until later in the shoe. It then grows quickly and has a greater
advantage than Hi-Lo in KO's sweet spot. Unbalanced strategies have
sweet spots where they perform the best.
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Sim details
- Six decks, S17, DAS, LS, 4.81/6, Hi-Lo Illustrious 18 and Fab
4, trunc, half-deck
- Six decks, S17, DAS, LS, 4.81/6, KO-P
- Ten billion rounds each
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