many trips should I win?
A trip is made up of many sessions and therefore more Blackjack
rounds. This chart simply expands the x-axis to 1,000-10,000 rounds.
Now we start to see more reasonable win rates. We should expect
to see 75% of trips of 10,000 rounds win. Still no guarantee, but
more reasonable sounding.
Note that these sims include only good rules and error-free play.
This may not be possible. On the other hand you can improve these
numbers by leaving the table in bad counts. The fewer hands played
at a disadvantage, the more likely you will win a session.
These charts were created using simulation data and then checked
against calculations using a formula in Don Schlesinger's Blackjack
Attack. The sims and calculated results were very close.